NCAA

Oregon Ducks bowl game predictions

AJ McCord breaks down Oregon's chances in the post-season

With one game remaining in the Ducks regular season, their bowl game destination is becoming clearer and clearer. 

There is still plenty to get figured out in the Pac-12 North, but after this last weekend much of the South has been settled which affects the overall ranking of conference teams and therefore which bowls they could go to.

Here's a look at the current Pac 12 Standings: 

North: 

Washington State - 10-1 (7-1 Conf.)

Washington - 8-3 (6-2 Conf.)

Stanford - 6-4 (4-3 Conf.)

Oregon - 7-4 (4-4 Conf.)

California - 6-4 (3-4)

Oregon State - 1-7 (2-9) 

South: 

Utah - 8-3 (6-3 Conf.) *Clinched South title

Arizona - 5-6 (4-4 Conf.)

Arizona State - 6-5 (4-4 Conf.) 

USC - 5-6 (4-5 Conf.) 

UCLA - 3-8 (3-5 Conf.) 

Colorado - 5-6 (2-6 Conf.) 

So, the Pac 12 has seven bowl eligible teams, Wazzu, Washington, Utah, Stanford, Oregon, Cal, and Arizona State. Arizona and USC can still become bowl eligible if they win their final regular season game. 

The conference has seven bowls with Pac 12 tie-ins and typically the ranking of these bowls stays relatively true to form. However, a bowl can bypass a team to choose one with a worse record if there is only a one game difference between the two teams. For example, if the season ended today, the Huskies have a better record (8-3) than Oregon (7-4) so tradition would hold UW would be heading to the Holiday Bowl, but the San Diego committee could decide they'd rather have the Ducks (for any myriad of reasons) and move up to pick Oregon. They couldn't do that, however, if the Ducks were 6-5 because that would put them two games worse than the Huskies. 

With all that background laid out for you, here's a list of the bowl games (in order of ranking) with Pac 12 ties. 

Rose Bowl: V. Big 12, Pasadena, CA January 1st (This will be the Pac-12 Champ if they don't go to the CFP)

Alamo Bowl: V. Big 12, San Antonio, TX December 28th

Holiday Bowl: V. Big 10, San Diego, CA December 31st

Redbox Bowl: V. Big 10, Santa Clara, CA December 31st

Sun Bowl: V. ACC, El Paso, TX December 31st

Vegas Bowl: V. Mountain West, Vegas, NV December 15th

CheezIt Bowl: V. Big 12, Phoenix, AZ December 26th


And now, the moment you've all been waiting for; here's my prediction for Oregon: 

With a Civil War WIN - Redbox Bowl

I think this is very likely because of proximity to Oregon, how well Ducks fans travel and with the fact that the other two teams surrounding Oregon, Cal and Stanford, who could end up with the same record are too close to this location. I don't think they want to create a home game situation for either the Bears or Cardinal. 

With a Civil War LOSS - Vegas Bowl

This is the sixth-ranked bowl with Pac-12 tie-ins and while bowl committees typically don't like having the same team come two years in a row, Ducks fans traveled well to Vegas last year and it's very feasible Oregon could fall to near the bottom of the bowl-eligible Pac-12 teams.


Let me know what you think, find me on Twitter: @AJ_McCord


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